GOP leads Dems in Generic Ballot for First Time in 2 Years
Posted by Bill Dupray
on Mar 17 2009 Filed under Politics.
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Slippage. From Rasmussen via Hot Air, who got it from Moe Lane.
Support for the Democratic Congressional candidates fell to a new low over the past week, allowing the GOP to move slightly head for the first time in recent years in the Generic Congressional Ballot
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 41% said they would vote for their district’s Republican candidate while 39% would choose the Democrat.
Investors now favor Republicans by a 46% to 36% margin, while non-investors would vote Democratic by a 45% to 33% margin.
Democrats began the year holding a six or seven point lead over the GOP for the first several weeks of 2009. Over the past month, the gap has been smaller, with Democrats holding a two-to-four point lead. It remains to be seen whether the current results reflect lasting change or statistical noise.
As Allah notes, those noted right-wingers at NPR also showed a dead-heat on the generic ballot question.
While Allah, and Moe, for that matter feel the need to caveat the bejesus out of these numbers (it’s Rasmussen, the numbers will shift, blah, blah, blah), the fact is that polls around the country show Democrats’ popularity falling steadily. The gubernatorial races in New Jersey and Virginia show Republicans making strong gains, and Sen. Chris Dodd and Gov. David Paterson are fighting for their political lives in their re-election bids.
As Scott points out, Obama’s numbers are also suffering. Even Democrat pollsters are showing a problem for The One.
So while one Rasmussen poll may not make a trend, that doesn’t mean there isn’t one.
Happy St. Patrick’s Day.
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Short URL: http://libertypundits.net/?p=3497
Stunning. I had the Republicans as left for dead. This is tempered good news though. The Repubs are just the other side of the same coin. Not quite as bad, but by no means good.