Gallup: It’s a Tie Ballgame

Posted by Bill Dupray on Oct 16 2008 Filed under Politics. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0. You can leave a response or trackback to this entry

Gallup has Obama up 49-47 with a margin of error of 2%. Have you heard that anywhere today? Of course not.

The media neeeeeds this to be over right now. Anything that contradicts that template is utterly disregarded. Gallup took some heat for changing their party weighting to include more Democrats, which accounted for Obama’s inflated numbers over the last couple of weeks. So they decided to do three polls, one of Registered Voters (RV) (useless as a predictor), Likely Voters (LV), and a new “Traditional” Likely Voters (TLV), which reflects the, well, traditional weighting of the parties. So here are today’s Daily Tracking Poll numbers.

Note that the results do not reflect last night’s debate, and can only mean that McCain was already closing the gap. Look for this get even tighter over the next couple of days.

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